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Recency Bias – The Dangerous Habit of Overvaluing Recent Results
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What this lesson covers
Recency bias is the habit of letting the last few trades decide the next one. A losing run makes a valid setup look dangerous. A winning run makes an ordinary setup look like a certainty. In both cases the strategy has been quietly replaced by a mood, which increases the chance of the next loss rather than reducing it. This lesson explains how the bias operates and why it is so difficult to notice from the inside, since the reasoning always feels sound at the time. The countermeasure it offers is straightforward and demanding: approach every trade as a fresh one, judge it against your criteria rather than your recent experience, and keep your longer term goals in view. It takes discipline, which is the point.